Tag Archive | "philadelphia"

Time’s Yours Podcast: The Eagles … So What Now?

It’s only fitting that a season that began with such promise, evolved into such frustration, is ending with a combination of both.

Lee Russakoff and I discuss, “what now?” with the Philadelphia Eagles.

You can follow Lee Russakoff on Twitter @LeeRussakoff.

You can subscribe to the Time’s Yours Podcast on iTunes here.

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The Degenerate: Week 16, The Friday Pick: Merry Christmas and Dallas Sucks!

“And so this is Christmas Cowboys week, I hope you have fun. The near and the dear ones, the old and the young.”
Yeah, not quite how John Lennon wrote it, but fitting nonetheless.

Another big week for Shady?

So it’s Cowboys week, and it’s ‘Win or Go Home’ version 4.0 for the Eagles. But for real this time. The Eagles are on the ropes and not only do they have to win at Dallas but they have to cheer for a Jets win over the Giants, if both of those things happen, we are still alive. Yes, I think the Jets will win, and I think the Eagles will win and I think we will be riding this thing out until the last minutes of Week 17. We’re not dead yet.


I wanted to take a minute to say thanks to everyone for reading the posts this year and for listening to my Twitter nonsense. Hopefully we all made a little money this season. Not just on the picks here but on some of the games I put out myself or re-tweeted on Twitter.

We had a loser last night with the Texans -6.5 and I think we can officially write off the Texans. They could end up with a #2 seed and I’d still bet against them at home in the playoffs. What a bad showing last night. Arian Foster did all he could, but TJ Yates is not a big game QB. How can you lose to the Colts? Oh well, we dropped to 21-17 on the season with the loss.

I’m going to keep it short this week, because I know that we all have alot on our plate this week trying to wrap up Christmas week. I won’t be putting out a Monday Night Football pick this week, so this is the last post for the week.

Onto the Week 16 pick…

Bet #1: (a.k.a. The “what’s better than beating the Cowboys on Christmas Eve?” pick)

Parlay: Eagles +1.5 AND Eagles / Cowboys UNDER 50.5

Oh, for the love of God. Are you kidding me?

I love Cowboys fans, they sure are loyal to a fault. I was looking into this game trying to get a feel for how it will go, so I was perusing some Cowboys blogs to try to take the pulse of the Dallas fans and uncover some local angle that I missed, and let me tell you something about the Cowboys fans this week… they sure are confident that Santa Romo will be delivering them a win (I’m really not one to talk, I always pick the Eagles. Bleed Green, and all that).

Over at TheLandryHat.com (great name, BTW), all seven of the contributors picked the Cowboys to win. Fancy that. Here are some nuggets:

‘[Eagles] are riding high off two straight wins (against the Dolphins and Jets) and they might just be starting to buy into the “dream team” hype’ – Dream Team reference? That is so Week 4.

‘The Boys are coming off a stellar win against the Buccaneers’ – Um, buddy, you beat Tampa Bay not the 1975 Steelers.

One guy says: “Rob Ryan better think of something to stop Vick”. You mean, unlike the last time they played? But he still picks the Boys to win by 3.

I love this one: “Michael Vick will probably get hurt.” So this cat is basing his prediction on Vick getting hurt? Ha ha. Stay classy, Dallas.

Jason Babin is closing in on the sack record.

And to a man, they all are predicting a big offensive game from the Cowboys, 34/31/34/38/30 points? Did I miss something, did RB Felix Jones get miraculously healed this week, or did the Cowboys sign 1997 Barry Sanders? They have Tony Romo, a decent slew of WR’s and at RB they have either a very banged up Felix Jones, or newly-signed Sammy Morris (or some dude named Chauncey Washington).

So Dallas fans are coming in all pumped up and ready for revenge. Ok, I get that. We whooped their ass in Week 8 and they probably couldn’t live with themselves if they got slapped around at home on Christmas Eve. That Week 8 win was probably the most fun game to watch all season. Sunday night national TV beatdown of the Cowboys. Good stuff.

This week I am going to say the Eagles win and game stays under 50.5, yup it’s a Christmas Eve parlay. Why not? Hey it’s Saturday night, it’s Christmas Eve, and you know you’ll be watching the game. You’ll probably be drinking a few beers, hanging with your Uncle Dave who can’t stop telling you about the time he beat up a Cowboys fan in the 700 Level in 1979 (“He had the balls to wear a Tony Dorsett jersey in the Vet, what was I supposed to do?”). I love the holidays.

And in case you don’t know, a parlay is a bet where you make two (or more) bets and if they all win then you win your bet, in this case you would parlay the Eagles +1.5 and UNDER 50.5 and this bet will get you a payout of around 2.5 times your bet (payout depends on the individual wager odds). But if either end of the parlay loses, you lose your bet, so there is a risk associated with the reward.  Here’s a good parlay calculator if you want to find out more.

Let's hope the Eagles give us a Merry Christmas.

The big unknown this week is if the Giants win in the early game then the Eagles will be eliminated from the playoff picture. But I think in either case (Giants win or lose) the Eagles will come to play in Dallas.

These teams are very similar, Eagles are 11th in offense, 12th in defense, Dallas is 9th in offense, 15th in defense. But I think the X factor in this game is the running game. Dallas is without rookie sensation DeMarco Murray (OUT) and Felix Jones is banged up pretty good with a hamstring injury. Jones missed practice this week and is a game-time decision (the Cowboys say he will play, but who knows how healthy he will be). Sammy Morris is on stand-by to handle the rushing duties in case Jones can’t go.

That plays into the Eagles favor, it lets them put more focus on Romo and the passing game. The Eagles do ok with Romo, in eight career games vs. the Eagles he has 11 TD’s and 11 INT’s. Yeah, Tony is playing great ball the past two weeks, and is having a pretty good season. But the Eagles are 11th vs. the pass, and #1 pass rushing team in the NFL (Dallas has the #10 ranked pass protection). If Babin and the boys can pressure Romo, I don’t see him having a very productive day. And with no running game to fall back on, it could be trouble for the Cowboys. Asante Samuel is out and that could hurt, but I think the Eagles will be ok in the defensive backfield (DRC gets the start in place of Asante? Oh boy).

The Eagles on offense should just be Shady all day, he got 185 yards rushing in the first meeting. Why change what works. Dallas is middle of the league in rush defense (16th overall). Brandon Jacobs got 101 yards and 2 TD’s in the Giants win in Dallas two weeks ago. Just give the ball to Shady!

Shady as a running threat will open up the game for Mike Vick. I think Vick will have a good game (250 yards passing, 2 TDs?), DeMarcus Ware is hurting but should play but anything less than 100% of DeMarcus Ware is a good thing for opponents.

It’s Christmas Eve and I think the fat man will give you something to smile about, no not Santa Claus, Andy Reid. How about the Eagles continue where they left off in Week 8 and knock off the Cowboys 24-20.

Eagles: CB Asante Samuel is  OUT.
Cowboys: RB Felix Jones is game time decision but should play. LB DeMarcus Ware is probable and should play.

The Line: Cowboys -1.5, O/U 50.5
The Pick: Parlay: Eagles +1.5 / UNDER 50.5

Merry Christmas!!





Season Record: 21-17. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me: fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

Posted in Eagles, Fun Stuff, National Sports, The Degenerate's PicksComments (1)

The Degenerate: Week 16 Preview and Thursday Pick; #ALLIN

It’s Week 16, this crazy season is almost over, but not until the Eagles make us sweat it out a little longer.

2011 has been quite a ride for Eagles fans

This is it, another week where the Eagles can be eliminated from playoff contention before they even kickoff their game. Let’s break down the scenarios (not like you haven’t already heard this a hundred times this week):

Eagles are eliminated if:

  • Giants beat Jets in the 1pm game OR Eagles lose to Cowboys

Eagles stay alive if:

  • Jets beat Giants AND Eagles beat Cowboys

And if we stay alive, then it all comes down to Week 17, Giants at Dallas and we will be cheering for the Giants like we’ve never cheered for the Giants before. I was thinking the other day, have Eagles fans ever cheered for the Giants? Maybe in that Super Bowl against the undefeated Patriots, but that’s probably it.

Jets are three point favorites this week, so Vegas thinks that they can pull it off. Let’s hope the bookies are right this time.


Let’s check on the Week 15 picks, take a first look at the Eagles / Dallas game and make a pick in the Thursday night Colts/Texans matchup…

Week 15 Revisited

3-0, how about that! We had a good weekend. Thursday was a pretty easy win. We were on Atlanta -12.5, they came out and blew the doors off Jacksonville 41-14. No sweat. That’s the kind of game I like. Over by halftime.

3-0? I can get used to that.

Sunday was the big match up of the week, Tebow vs. Brady. I had a feeling that the Patriots would be able to score on the Broncos, and they sure did. But Tebow was able to draw first blood and jump out to a 17-6 but the Patriots were able to pull ahead and take a 27-16 lead into halftime.

A few more scores in the 2nd half and the Patriots cruised to a 41-23 win. Another easy winner, 18 point win laying seven. Nice.

Monday night was just us playing the statistics. We had two of the top defenses, an injured QB and another QB who was not the guy to light up the scoreboard.

Ben Roethlisberger played, but he didn’t look healthy. Hobbling around, he threw a couple of early interceptions to kill Steeler drives.

But the 49ers couldn’t get into the endzone either. Alex Smith turned two touchdown drives into two fieldgoal drives, and I couldn’t be happier. 6-0 at half, 13-3 after three quarters, this one never even sniffed 30 points. And the UNDER 38 got there easy.

Let’s hope we can keep the momentum going this week and take a hot streak into the postseason.

Week 15 Hometown Preview: Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Opening Line: Cowboys -3, O/U 50.5
Current Line: Cowboys -2, O/U 50.5
Game Trends (via Covers.com): Eagles: 10-3 OVER in last 13 road games; Cowboys: 12-4 OVER in last 16 home games.

No caption needed, the picture speaks for itself.

This line is what you would expect. Opened as Dallas -3, so pretty much a pick ‘em with Dallas getting a bump for homefield. The early money came in on the Eagles, I guess a 45-19 beatdown of the Jets is more impressive than the Cowboys 31-15 win at Tampa Bay.

We all know what happened last time these guys played in Week 6. It was one of the first ‘do-or-die’ weeks if the Eagles season. The Eagles were a 3 point favorite at home and came away with an impressive 34-7 win. Oh by the way, we had the UNDER in that one (winner).

Dallas is 5-2 ATS at home this season, but 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall this season. The Eagles are 2-0 ATS and SU as road dogs this season. And this game is the definition of ‘must win’ for them this week.

The total really sticks out to me on this one, 50.5? That seems high. Two top 15 defenses, neither team really known to put up many points (I know the Eagles scored 45 last week, but that was out of the ordinary).

I expect the Eagles to play it conservative, and use LeSean McCoy as much as possible. and with Brent Celek coming on strong the past few weeks, we could continue to see him used in a short passing game. Dallas could be without RB Felix Jones, so that takes away a big part of their offense. Can Romo put up points against the reborn Eagles defense? I don’t think so.

Right now, I’m leaning Eagles plus the points and UNDER. Well come back tomorrow and break it all down and make a pick. But for now, let’s move on to the Thursday night game…

Thursday Night Football

TNF Bet #1: (a.k.a the “Yeah, the Colts won, but they still stink” pick): Texans -6.5 over Colts

What a crappy season for the Colts. They finally got win #1 last week, and it only took them 14 games. Their one potent offense has turned impotent (#29th overall), #32 (last) in overall team efficiency and #32 in defensive efficiency. To put it bluntly, the Colts suck this season.

It's been a rough season for Colts fans

We’ve had to handicap some bad teams this year (Rams, Jaguars, Vikings) but the Colts might take the prize.

I think the Jaguars are worse on offense (but not by much), and maybe you can argue that the Tampa or Minnesota is worse on defense, but the Colts have the unique combination of a crappy offense and a crappy defense.

The Indy offense is managing a paltry 283 total yards per game, and only putting up 15.1 points per game. That’s not going to win many games (as they’ve proven this year). The Texans are 10-4 and still jockeying for position in the playoffs, so they aren’t on cruise control yet. They had a bad loss last week at home against Carolina, after running off 7 straight wins. I don’t think the Texans will have any problems moving the ball tonight and that’s why I’m going with Houston -6.5.

Houston doesn’t have Matt Schaub, and they won’t have Andre Johnson, but they do have a pretty fierce combination of running backs, so expect to see alot of Arian Foster and Ben Tate. The Colts are giving up 138 rushing yards per game, and Houston is anked #2 in rushing yards per game at 151. So yeah, expect a big day from Foster. Congratulations to you if you are starting him in fantasy this week.

The only question mark for the Texans is QB TJ Yates. He’s had 3 starts so far, one good, one bad, and one so-so. I think this week he will be able to take advantage of the weak Colts defense and move the ball. I still expect the Texans to rely mainly on the run, but Yates should be able to move the ball when he needs to. As long as he doesn’t try to do too much, we should be ok laying 6.5.

Arian Foster should have a big night

The Colts offense is pathetic. Yeah, there is no other word to describe it. 15 points per game? 283 yards of total offense. Not good. Dan Orlovsky is in at QB now, he replaced Curtis Painter a few weeks ago. Last week in the big win over Tennessee he managed… 115 yard passing. So I think the Colts have decided to not let him throw the ball. Could be a smart move. Like with the Texans, I think on the Indy side of the ball we will see alot of running plays as well. Donald Brown had a breakout game last week, 161 yard rushing and a TD. But that was his only game with over 80 yard rushing this season.

The Houston defense is pretty good. #7 in overall defensive efficiency (#4 v. pass, #12 v. rush) and I think they will be able to shut down the Colts offense, not that it’s a big challenge.

Houston is finally in a position to control it’s own destiny, and after years of playing second fiddle to the Colts in the AFC South they can finally bully them around and move closer to the chance at a bye week in the first round.

The Texans won the first matchup in Week 1, 34-7, and they will be rady for a season sweep.

How about both teams keep it on the ground, but only the Texans have success moving the ball. Houston finally gets revenge on big brother and comes away with a win, Texans 27-10.

The Line: Texans -6.5 O/U 40.5
The Pick: Texans -6.5
Game trends (via Covers.com): 10-3 OVER in the last 13 meetings. HOU 6-1-1 ATS last 8 games this season.






Season Record: 21-16. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me: fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments


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The Degenerate: Week 15, The Friday Pick (on Saturday)… He’s Baaaack!

Ok, enough of this losing crap. Can’t the gambling gods throw me a bone and give me some holiday cheer? On Thursday night we had the Steelers -14.

Ben, I know how you feel.

And just our luck, Big Ben goes down with a leg injury in the 2nd quarter. We’re doomed! But wait, here comes Ben after halftime taking warmups. He’s gonna play!

Steelers were up 7-3 with 11 minutes left in the game, they moved the ball down to the tw0 yard line, but they got stuffed by the Browns four straight downs. Yes, the 30th ranked Browns rushing defense stuffed the Steelers 8th ranked rushing game. That’s when I knew we weren’t going to cover.

Steelers managed to get a 14-3 win, but not the cover. So that dropped us to 0-5 in our last five picks. Not good. And now we’re at 16-16 on the season. But let’s keep on taking shots and see what happens.

I looked over the card this week and I really only found one game I liked, Eagles at Dolphins. Yeah, and it’s not even just a hometown pick, I actually like a side in this one.

I also liked the Saints -3.5 at Tennessee, but not enough to put it out as a pick. And Carolina at home getting 3 over Atlanta looks like a possible money line play. But let’s focus in on the one play this week.

Bet #1: (a.k.a. “The Mike Vick Experience, Part 2” pick) Eagles +3 over Miami Dolphins.

I know, I know the Eagles suck. They’re 4-8, they’ve lost four of their last five games straight up. They looked terrible against the Seahawks. I know, I’ve watched every game.

The Dolphins aren't playing too bad

And Miami, on the other hand, has won of four of their last five and have covered 6 in a row. Miami is the new hot team in the NFL (excluding Tebow, who is on another level of bandwagon jumping right now). I think they stole the title from Detroit. Everyone loves the Dolphins. They started slow at 0-7, now they’re rolling at 4-8.

The big news for the Eagles this week is that Mike Vick is back. He should be ready to play and he is the reason I am betting the Eagles this week. When Vick plays, the Eagles are a different team, bottom line.

And I’m not sold on the Dolphins. Not as a three point favorites against the Eagles. I know the Eagles have had a rough season, but they have better players than the Dolphins. Matt Moore at QB for Miami? In 9 games he’s putting up 193 yard per game, Vick is getting 243 in the air. Dolphins are relying on Reggie Bush at RB. Bush has had a rough few season, really not living up to his potential. He has four TD’s in his last four games, but is only gaining 60 yard per game on the ground.

Four of Miami’s recent wins have been againt Kansas City, Washington, Buffalo and Oakland. Only that Raiders win sticks out as a decent win. Buffalo is falling apart, and KC and Washington aren’t that good. So their recent ‘hot streak’ hasn’t been against top competition. They did play Dallas tight on Thanksgiving Day, so that is a nice effort (even though they lost).

Just give the ball to Shady.

I know, the Eagles are losing too. Against bad teams and good teams. Sort of an equal opportunity failure this season. But despite being 4-8 they have only been underdogs in two other games, Week 11 against the Giants (+6) and Week 12 at home against New England (+3).  Now they are getting three on the road at Miami with Vick returning? I don’t get it.

If the Eagles are going to win this game they are going to have to rely on Shady and the running game (I say this every week, maybe this week will be the time they actually do it). I really think this week Andy will design a gameplan to use Vick and Shady on the ground as much as possible. I mean, why not? Shady is the leading rushing RB (tied with MJD), and Vick is the leading rushing QB (he’s getting 8.2 yard per carry). Why mess with success? Even without Vick keeping the defense honest we were able to put up 132 yards vs. Seattle last week. The Eagles come in fully rested, it’s been 10 days since their last game, and for a team that has been banged up lately that has to help a little too.

It’s a pretty meaningless game for both teams, but I’m going to say that the better team wins. And the Eagles are the better team. I saw this Tweet on Friday about this game… “The Miami Dolphins look like a big Choc Cake this week, Dont eat it.. Bad Carbs will hurt your pockets.” I think he is saying the Dolphins are a mirage. Sometime gamblers make no sense when they talk in code, but this one was pretty clear and it confirmed what I was already thinking.

How about Andy gets a “too little, too late” win on the road, Eagles 24-20.

The Line: Miami -3, O/U 45
The Pick: Eagles +3
Game Trends (via Covers.com): Miami: 3-0 ATS as a home favorite this season; Eagles: 0-2 ATS vs. AFC East this season.

I need this win. I don’t want to drop to under .500 for the season.





Season Record: 16-16. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments


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DeSean Jackson’s Problem Is Not Money

You’re crazy. You’re all crazy.

So the argument is this: if the Eagles had paid DeSean Jackson in the offseason, or at least during the season, he would not be behaving this way. And perhaps, if DeSean Jackson was not behaving this way, the Eagles would be a better team, with their most explosive weapon on offense satisfied and performing.

The thing I keep hearing and reading is that DeSean Jackson is a man who is a) motivated by money (which we all are to an extent) as well as b) pretty immature (which we knew) and also that c) he feels disrespected that there are a lot of players on the team who got paid, while he hasn’t.

What I get from many people is that even if the Eagles didn’t give DeSean Jackson the money he was asking for, even if they didn’t give him a new deal, they could have thrown him a couple of million dollars to make him happy. That would have gotten us through the season.

And all I keep thinking is, you’re all crazy. Every, last one of you is crazy if you really believe you know how DeSean Jackson would have reacted to any of that.

Look, I don’t blame DeSean Jackson on his own for the atrocity we’re witnessing, far from it. It’s too easy to blame any one person for any of it. The Eagles are terrible, and there is plenty of blame to go around.

That said, his performance and attitude is inexcusable, and something I haven’t seen from any Eagles player in my lifetime. Ricky Watters, Terrell Owens, whatever prima donna child-like star you want to name, not one of them has played and acted with such a severe disregard for effort and attitude.

This problem that DeSean Jackson has does not get solved by handing him a check. In fact many times, quite the opposite is true. If we’re supposing that DeSean Jackson is motivated by money, what makes you believe that he’ll still be motivated after he gets his money? Even if he got everything he was asking for. He wouldn’t be the first player in pro sports to take his foot off the gas once he got paid. Asante Samuel’s contract is plenty large isn’t it? How’s his attitude been this year?

You hand DeSean a check for two million dollars as a “thank you.” How are you at all sure that it’s going to solve any problems if he’s asking for 80 million of those dollars? You can’t be. In fact, I’d be willing to bet we’d be in the exact same place right now. I certainly wouldn’t be willing to bet against it. Not even with somebody else’s money.

Many times the very first album you hear from a band is their best, because they’re hungry. Because everything they’ve ever dreamed about and worked toward in their career has been for that moment. And whether they make it or they don’t, they’re never the same after that. If they don’t make it, many times they grow bitter and tired. If they strike it rich, well what’s the sense in working hard after that?

We knew this about Jackson coming in. We did. And if there’s a fault, it’s in thinking that it was possible to change him and getting him straightened out. But I can’t convince myself that this situation would have been avoided with money.

The mistake that we’re making is thinking that DeSean Jackson’s problem is a money problem. It isn’t. DeSean Jackson’s problem is a DeSean Jackson problem, which isn’t nearly as easy to solve.



Posted in EaglesComments (2)

The Degenerate: Week 13 Thursday Night Pick, U-G-L-Y

So, I’ve had this Eagles / Seahawks game circled on my calendar ever since the Eagles started 1-4. Based on my crazy wishful thinking back in October, this was the week that the Eagles would overtake the Giants and get into 1st place. I had the Giants losing a bunch of their recent games (they did drop three of their last four, so I was right about that), the Eagles would be surging and a win this week over Seattle, coupled with a Giants loss this Sunday vs Green Bay, would move the Birds into 1st place. Well, that sorta didn’t turn out like I planned.

I finally have an excuse to use this Vince Young picture.

Now we’re stuck with a Thursday Night NFL Network primetime matchup of 4-7 teams, and who’s leading the charge you ask?? Well, it’s Vince Young and Tarvaris Jackson.

To the rest of America, I will say… I’m sorry you have to sit through this.

But I’m an Eagles fan and I’ll watch every play of this game, no matter how painful it becomes. Last Sunday I had the pleasure of listening to the Eagles/Patriots game on the radio, the ‘theater of the mind’, every word from Merrill Reese that poured out of the speakers had me visualizing Tom Brady ripping apart the Eagles defense, or what was supposed to be a defense. The ‘Fire Andy’ chants were short-lived but loud when the did happen, I heard them clear as day on my radio. The natives are getting restless. I don’t want to beat a dead horse, but can we just give up on the Juan Castillo Experience already? Enough of this. I’m half expecting Jeff Lurie to pull back the curtain and let us in on his own personal Truman Show.

That Patriots game was ugly. But this week if the Eagles can recover and get a win, improve to 5-7 and… move one game closer to ending the season.

But in brighter news, we went 3-1 last week with the picks. 2-1 on Thanksgiving Day and another Monday Night winner (7-3 on the season on Monday nights).

So stick with us and we’ll recap our Week 12 picks, then we’ll breakdown the Eagles/Seahawks and make a pick in that one. You’re gonna watch it, so you might as well bet on it, right? (for amusement purposes only, obviously)

Week 12 Revisited

It was a good week.

Like I said earlier, the picks went 3-1 last week. It was a pretty nice weekend. Even I was a little surprised at how easily the Packers and Saints covered, Baltimore defense did what I expected and shut down the 49ers. The Cowboys? Well, when I need them to score a bunch of points, they can only manage 20. F the Cowboys.

We’re 16-12 overall on the season, not too bad (All of the 2011 picks are documented here.). And that number includes losing 5 out of 6 games a few weeks ago. Let’s hope we keep the momentum going this week, starting with our pick for the Thursday Night Eagles game…

Thursday Night Football

TNF Bet #1: (a.k.a “The 2nd String is now the 1st String” pick): Eagles / Seahawks UNDER 43.5

Juan, 'just tackle the guy with the ball' isn't one of our defensive formations.

As soon as I started thinking about this Eagles / Seahawks game on Monday my first thought was to go with the UNDER. Both teams are struggling offensively, the Eagles are pretty banged up and travelling out west and playing Thursday night after a Sunday beatdown like they got against the Patriots will not be easy.

This game opened as Eagles -3.5, O/U 45.5, and then everyone on the Eagles got hurt and the total dropped to 43.5, I wouldn’t be surprised if that total dropped to 43, or 42.5 by kickoff. The wiseguys, and the public at large, is wondering how the points will be scored. I know I am. This is the lowest total for an Eagles game this season.

First, the obvious statement, both teams aren’t playing that good this season and neither are fighting for a playoff spot. So it’s kind of hard to handicap two teams playing without any motivation. Then you factor in the injuries on the Eagles, the list is long and distinguished. Mike Vick and Jeremy Maclin are OUT. DRC is still OUT too (that could be a good thing, jk). Now Nnamdi and Shady McCoy are game time decisions? And in the ‘non-injury’ department DeSean Jackson has a bruised ego and is destined to not give 100% tonight. It’s a given that he doesn’t want to get hurt in a meaningless game and ruin his free agent value. So pretty much every decent player on the Eagles is banged up.

Seattle is coming in struggling on offense. Over the past 6 games they are only scoring 12 points a game, not good. FootballOutsiders.com has Seattle as the 26th ranked offense, 196 yards per game passing and 97 yards per game rushing. Not very potent. But the Eagles counter with the 19th ranked defense. So it’s a good thing Seattle sucks moving the ball. I mean I know Tom Brady tore them up last week, but is Tarvaris Jackson even half the QB of Tom Brady? I say no. Seattle’s leading receiver is Doug Baldwin (who?). Next is Ben Obomanu with 295 yards receiving on the year. Sidney Rice was their #1 WR but he’s out this week with a concussion.

Marshawn Lynch is the key tonight

Running the ball it’s all Marshawn Lynch. I think he is the only offensive weapon the Seahawks have. He started very slowly but has turned it on the past few weeks so he is someone to watch. But if Seattle sticks with the run game, that can only help the UNDER. I expect the Eagles to gameplan against Lynch and try to make Jackson beat them passing.

The Eagles offense is tough to predict. Started strong early in the year, but they have only put up 19 .5 points a game over the last 4 games. Vince Young has had some decent numbers last week but alot of it was in garbage time. He hasn’t been terrible in his two starts, but I wouldn’t want to rely on him with the game on the line.

I was hoping for alot of Shady on the ground this week but it looks like he will be a gametime decision with a sprained toe. I guess that might leave the RB duties to… Dion Lewis? Ronnie Brown? Well, Seattle has the #8 rush defense, so they would probably eat those 2 guys alive. So I expect Shady to play, mainly because the Eagles really don’t have a #2 back. And if Shady does play, he will be limited. Again, more reason to go UNDER.

So it seems like it will be up to DeSean Jackson to be the playmaker this week. Hopefully he will be mentally ready.

And former Seahawk Jason Babin gets himself Tweet of the Week honors with this one…


Distain, nice. That sounds like some Dirty Harry/Death Wish shit right there. Mike Holmgren better watch his back (Jason does know that Holmgren is out of Seattle and works for the Cleveland Browns now, right?)

Sportsbookspy.com is showing 56% of the action is going to the UNDER, so this pick is not original.

The trends are against us on this one: Seattle 4-1 OVER at home this year, and the Eagles are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 road games. But I’m bucking those trends tonight.

I think this game will be a borefest (sorry, but it’s true), with both offenses struggling to move the ball. Maybe a few big plays here and there but overall a slow paced game. The Eagles are still the better team and I think Andy has them ready to get a road win, 20-10 Eagles on top.

I would expect the Eagles to cover the 3.5 points, but I’m not taking a side. With this Eagles team, who knows what you will get.

The Line: Eagles -3.5,  O/U 43.5
The Pick: Eagles/Seahawks UNDER 43.5

Back on Friday with the Sunday pick.





Season Record: 16-12. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

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Time’s Yours Podcast: The Eagles Nuclear Winter

This Guy

About two weeks ago, it was the NBA that was about to suffer through a nuclear winter.

As it turns out, it’s our oh-so-lovable, underachieving, highly-paid, hometown football team, the Philadelphia Eagles who will have to sift through the rubble to find survivors after disaster.

Will DeSean Jackson be a survivor? Doubt it. Juan Castillo? Highly doubt it. Andy Reid? It’s the Cyber Monday Nuclear Winter edition of Time’s Yours. We even sneak some Sixers talk in at the end.

Follow Lee Russakoff on Twitter @LeeRussakoff.

Subscribe to the Time’s Yours podcast on iTunes. 

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Hanging ‘Em Up: A Philadelphia Sports Fan Retires

Josh Robert is a lifelong Philadelphian. He’s even got “215” tattooed on his arm. I’m serious. You can follow him on Twitter @JRob215

I feel like Brett Favre.

Brett Favre never knew when to hang ‘em up.  Eventually he stuck around too long and people grew tired of his antics, and then with a chance to go to the Super Bowl he threw a bad pass across his body to someone who happens to play for the other team. Season over, career over, legacy redefined.

Boy can I relate.  Not to the playing professional football for 20 years, winning a Super Bowl, or throwing an interception that prevented my team from going to the Super Bowl parts; but to wearing out my welcome. For failing to know when the right time to hang ‘em up was

That is why today, I, Josh Robert, am announcing my retirement from being an avid professional sports fan in Philadelphia.

It is with great sadness and fond memories that I make this decision, but with what I have witnessed the past few months it is time to put my heart into something else. Maybe I can be a better parent or husband, or I’ll pick up my guitar again. Who knows, maybe I’ll become a poet.  Well maybe I won’t be a poet. But I can no longer take the mental and sometimes physical anguish that comes with being a sports fan.

In the wake of the NFL lockout coming to an end in late July, I, along with most Philadelphia sports fans acted well out of character.  Instead of the guarded optimism that we usually take into every game or season, we started getting prepared for parades (yes multiple) down Broad Street.

“We signed Nnamdi Asoumagh!?” I had no idea who he was before the 2010 season, but hell, everyone wanted him and we got him! “Jason Babin is coming back!?” Sure we could have had him for less money a year ago, but damn this defense is getting better.  “Vince Young is our back up quarterback!?” Such a better option than Kolb (as long as he doesn’t open his mouth and say something stupid, that a back up quarterback shouldn’t say…).  And of course the Phillies had just traded for Hunter Pence, the right handed bat we so desperately needed to sure up our aging, but still potent line up.  Yes, this was, as many people considered it, one of the greatest weeks in Philadelphia sports history.

Well, one of the greatest weeks in Philadelphia sports history, ON PAPER.

And now here we sit, not even four months later.  What a sad sight we are.

The Phillies? Well, money can’t buy World Series championships, and the Phillies have learned that  lesson. Throwing millions of dollars at pitching is not going to guarantee anything (wait, we gave Jonathan Papelbon how much money?).  We’ve spent the last 3 years AFTER winning the World Series expecting to win the World Series.  Like it or not, the Phillies are becoming the Eagles of the early 2000s, we expect them to win and they just can’t seem to put it together.  Sorry Phils, I’ve been through that, it’s not fun. Expectations more times than not lead to disappointment.  I’ve had a great run with the Phillies, my first game I was two months old and Von Hayes hit two homeruns in the first inning. I cried when Joe Carter homered off of Mitch Williams, and again when Brad Lidge recorded the final out in 2008, its been a helluva run. But the run ends today. I’m retiring.

To the Eagles, what can I say? How many times do we have to go through the same thing? I think you’re a really great organization, competitive like few others, and thickheaded like no other.  It’s been an honor to watch this organization go from three win seasons to one of the best and most consistent franchises in the NFL.  But unfortunately 10-6 seasons become less and less rewarding.  This season was supposed to be different. I mean,  Nnamdi!!!!! Vick, Shady, DJax and Casey Matthews?  Wait, Juan Castillo, the offensive line coach? The Eagles put a fresh coat of paint on a house that has termites, and leaky pipes (Sorry, I rent I really don’t know problems that home owners face).  The Eagles always thought they were smarter than everyone else, and we’re finally sure they’re not. I cannot put myself through this anymore.  So to the Eagles, I’m sorry but I’m retiring.

Now comes a tough one, to the Sixers and the NBA.  Man, what a run! I’ve loved basketball my entire life, being a Sixers fan during the Allen Iverson era (not the 2009 version) was the most fun being a sports fan I can remember.  And this current Sixers team has me so excited for the NBA season to begin, but alas, this decision is being made for me by the NBA owners and players.  The excitement from last year’s season has now been washed away by people trying to figure out what BRI means, why owners who hand out ridiculous contracts as recently as last year are now trying to protect themselves from acting so foolishly.  I would love to try and defend Lebron James again (as hard as he made it). I want to see how Evan Turner’s jump shot has developed, excited that it won’t be Ed Snider owning the team and only sitting courtside during the fourth quarter or when it’s a high profile game. I want to discuss possible Andre Iguodala trade scenarios, but unfortunately I’m relegated to watching Game 3 of the 1994 Eastern Conference Finals.  I’m sorry Sixers and NBA, maybe I’ll pull a Jordan and come back, but I’m retiring.

Flyers, sorry, never really been a fan, I’m retiring. But real quick, every season that I remember, the Flyers are supposed to win the Stanley Cup. During my lifetime they fail to. The one constant? Each and every goal tender the Flyer bring in, is supposed to be the one that gets them over the hump. Garth Snow, John Vanbiesbrouck (I can’t spell that), Bobrovsky, Bryzgalov (seriously with the names!) and the rest.  So why should this season be any different? I don’t follow hockey but I can tell you the Flyers will probably lose in the second round of the playoffs to the Montreal Canadiens. But as always next year they’ll bring in Martin Brodeur or something and then, it’ll be their year.

The final straw for me making this decision was the incredible amount of disgust and sadness that I felt watching ESPN and listening to sports talk radio for the last week and a half.  The Penn State scandal (and I will leave my personal opinions out of this) completely ruined everything involving sports in the last week.  The constant updates, the constant mentions of rape and lying and moral responsibilities was just too much.  While I understand the severity of the situation, sports is supposed to be a release, I’d rather watch bloopers or listen to Merrill Hoge rip apart the Eagles again. It was sad. It wasn’t even about sports anymore.

It became too serious, and maybe that’s the problem. Serious and sad isn’t a good combination.

Sports was supposed to be fun, but I’ve spent the last 26 years making it too important, I stuck around too long. And in the end I threw a bad pass, I couldn’t live up to the expectations and now there is an incredible stink on my sports fandom.

I retire.

Posted in Eagles, Flyers, Phillies, SixersComments (4)

Roy Burton: To Keep Andy Reid Is To Embrace Mediocrity

Roy Burton is the co-host of “The Broad Street Line”, a weekly sports podcast on BlogTalkRadio (Check It Out Here). He also serves as a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report, and covers the Sixers for Section215.com – you can read his work at http://thetwofifteen.com. You can follow him on Twitter @TheBSLine.

This past Sunday afternoon, tens of thousands of Philadelphia Eagles fans sat at the Linc, in their living rooms, or in their neighborhood watering holes, rooting on their beloved football team.

And as we watched the Eagles slowly unravel in the fourth quarter yet again this season, the question that many of us have been trying to avoid for weeks slowly began to create a sense of doubt in the backs of our heads…

Are we going about this the wrong way?

It’s clear that something needs to change. When a team loaded with offensive talent adds Nnamdi Asomugha, Jason Babin, Cullen Jenkins and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie in a busy offseason, there is no reason that team should ever begin a year with a 3-6 record. None.

We all know what needs to happen. We’d guess that nothing is going to happen unless the wheels completely fall off of this thing. And while it’s hard for many of us to reconcile the fact that losing games is a good thing in the long term, it may be the only way for our team to reclaim its past glory.

Because at this point, isn’t rooting for Andy Reid akin to embracing mediocrity?

For the better part of 13 years, Reid has been the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. And for the 13th year – barring a miracle from on high – Reid will not be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy at season’s end.

In just two short months, the mood surrounding this team has gone from excitement to concern to flat-out apathy. We’ve pretty much resigned ourselves to cheering for a squad that’s no better than mediocre, despite a roster filled with former Pro Bowlers.

Yet we continue to watch. Granted, it’s probably ingrained somehow in our double helixes, but we continue to hope and wish and pray that the Eagles win each week, even though that just means we’ll get more of the same out of Reid. It’s only fair we’re put out of our misery.

Andy Reid apologists will be quick to suggest that their beloved coach deserves a mulligan for 2011. After all, the Eagles haven’t had a losing season since 2005, and the team has won six division titles and an NFC Championship during his tenure.

But here’s the thing: Andy Reid doesn’t deserve anything. As those mutual fund commercials have taught us, past performance is not an indicator of future success. So if Andy Reid isn’t the best option to lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl, then the team owes it to itself – and to us, by extension – to hire the best man for the job.

That isn’t to say that the team has quit on Reid this year. But there’s no excuse for losing to a 2-6 Arizona team at home, especially with the Cardinals missing the services of Kevin Kolb.

Sure, the Eagles were without one of their most potent weapons on offense (Desean Jackson) on Sunday. But with the best dual-threat RB in the NFL (Lesean McCoy), a Pro Bowl-caliber wideout (Jeremy Maclin), and a $100 million man at quarterback (Michael Vick), scoring 10 points on offense against the league’s fourth-worst pass defense is completely unacceptable.

This isn’t as bad as 1998 – the final year of the Ray Rhodes era when the team went winless on the road and only scored 161 points for the entire season. Nor is it as dreadful as the 1994 campaign when the Eagles lost their last seven games, ushering in the end of the Rich Kotite era. But it isn’t far off, and it’s not over yet.

This weekend, we saw the Eagles blow a 4th quarter lead for the fifth time in nine games – an NFL record. And yet after the game, Reid provided the same rote answers he always does when speaking to the media.

Not that we should have expected anything of substance. These days, Andy Reid press conferences are nothing more than the verbal equivalent of a paint-by-numbers exercise.

Let the record show that this is a man who was arrogant enough to name his offensive line coach his defensive coordinator, and then bristle at the suggestion that it wasn’t the most logical choice. Of course, this is also a man who has enjoyed carte blanche ever since he arrived in Philadelphia back in 1999.

But until that’s taken away from him, we are forced to deal with someone who – after more a decade at the helm – still struggles with the not-so-finer points of time management. A mediocre talent evaluator whose recent draft history leaves plenty to be desired. And a head coach who can make decisions without consequence until the one man who can effect a change finally comes to the realization that most of us have consented to long ago.

Jeffery Lurie? Time’s yours.

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