Tag Archive | "Lions"

Time’s Yours Podcast: Eagles Win Fifth In A Row In The Snow Bowl

Time's Yours

This is the worst game ever! Why are they even playing!?

“JUST KIDDING! INSTANT CLASSIC!”

The Eagles won their fifth straight, and again I insist they are a “good team.” Lee says no, and explains why.

We talk Eagles Lions, the new NFL rules, Nick Foles’ lies and whether the Eagles can win a home playoff game. Chris Johnson Jr. chimes in during Warm It Up with three questions to stick it to Russakoff.

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Time’s Yours: Detroit Loss And The Boiling Point

Is the Eagles loss to the Lions just another week six for the Birds, or is it something more (worse)?

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The Degenerate: Week 12 – Thanksgiving Picks, The Turkey Day Threesome

It’s Thanksgiving week. You know, the week when you get sloppy drunk with old high school friends (“OH MY GOD WE SHOULD TOTALLY HANG OUT MORE!”), you pretend to start Christmas shopping before giving up after an hour, and… FOOTBALL!

Can we wrap this up? I have money on the Cowboys game.

Growing up, Thanksgiving day football was always a mess (except 1989 when the Eagles shut out the Cowboys 27-0, a.k.a Bounty Bowl). Detroit would play, Barry Sanders would get 175 yards rushing and they would still lose. Then we had to sit through a Dallas Cowboys game. No matter how much I hate the Cowboys, I always watched every play (mainly for gambling or fantasy football purposes, but still). And then, a few years ago, the greatest invention ever was created, the Thursday Night Thanksgiving game. Why did it take so long? Thanksgiving is perfect for a night game. The day is done, the food is gone, your family has all gone their separate ways, your stomach is bloated and you want nothing else than to sit in the recliner and watch football. Well, the NFL felt your pain and a few years ago they started the Thanksgiving night game. God Bless the NFL.

This year the Thanksgiving matchups are actually pretty decent. Miami at Dallas looks ugly on paper, but the Dolphins aren’t playing too bad lately. I could see a lot of points in this one.

Green Bay at Detroit? Nice. We finally have a Detroit Thanksgiving game that is worth a crap. This one should be a battle, the Packers are trying to keep their unbeaten season alive and the Lions are fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive. I’m actually looking forward to this one.

The night game is San Francisco at Baltimore. The Harbaugh Bowl, or whatever. Honestly, I’m already sick of the hype on this one. We get it, the coaches are brothers. Their mom said she is hoping for a tie. Whatever. Two great defenses are banging heads, this one should be a fight.

There are three great games on tap for Thursday, and guess what sports fans? I’m making a pick in all of them. Why not? I’m 13-11 on the season. I slugged through last weekend at 1-2. I’ve been pretty picky about my selections, and it’s only gotten me to two games over .500. Maybe shooting from the hip will get us some luck. I’ll call it “The Three Course Thanksgiving Cornucopia”.

So, here we go with the TCTC, as always this is for amusement purposes only. You can use this as your guide when making those $5 bets with your Uncle Frank. I’m going to breakdown the three games quickly since I know we all have better things to do today…

Bet #1: (a.k.a The “If Cam Newton can put up 35 points on Detroit…” pick) Green Bay -6.5 over Detroit

80 years and finally a good matchup.

I know, the cool thing to say is “yeah, I think Detroit knocks off the Packers and gives them their first loss.” But I don’t think it’s going to happen. I expect another big game from Aaron Rogers and company. Green Bay has been favored by less than a TD four times this season, covering all four games. They’re averaging 35 points per game so far this season.

The Detroit defense is good, I know that. But last week they sure didn’t look like it, giving up 35 points to Cam Newton and the Panthers. Could they have been looking ahead to this game? Probably. But I think the Packers are focused on the undefeated season, and this is a major hurdle, so they will be ready. Aaron Rogers is locked in right now, he will be tough to stop.

Detroit started the season 5-0, but have only gone 2-3 since then. Matt Stafford is hurting, but he sure didn’t look like it on Sunday, throwing five TD passes. They’re missing their #1 RB, but fill-in Kevin Smith had a good game last week. But I’m worried more about the defense. How can they give up 35 points to Carolina?

It could be a long day for the Lions. Vegas sets the Total at 56 points, so they’re looking for around a 31-24 game. I think it will be more lopsided. How about Aaron Rogers and Jordy Nelson keep rolling and the Packers win 38-21.

Bet #2 (a.k.a The “At least you aren’t picking the Cowboys” pick) Dallas / Miami OVER 44

Who knew Miami fans were so gangsta?

Miami has shut down the last three teams they have played. KC scored three, Washington scored nine and Buffalo scored eight. But take look at those teams, none of them have been playing well lately.

Yeah, Washington almost beat Dallas last week, but that was pretty much the Redskins’ Super Bowl. They gave Dallas all they could and still couldn’t get it done.

Dallas has put up 20+ in four of the last five games, they seem like a different team with DeMarco Murray in the backfield. Miami is averaging 29 points the last 3 games, ever since Reggie Bush remembered he was a Heisman winner. Both offenses are moving the ball well.

And playing on a short week, I’d give the advantage to the offense.

Add to that Miami has not gone OVER at all this season, eight UNDERs, one Push. All streaks end at some point, and I think this one ends this week. DeMarco Murray and the Dallas WR/TE’s (Bryant, Robinson, Witten) should have big days. As much as I would like to see the Cowboys lose to help the Eagles, I don’t see it happening. Romo and Murray get Dallas a 34-20 win.

Bet #3 (a.k.a The “Home cooking always tastes better” pick) Baltimore -3 over San Francisco

I know, I know, I said I’d never put my money on Joe Flaccid. But in this one, I’m putting my money on Joe Flaccid (but never again, I swear 😉 ).

Flacco is not a great QB, I know that. But I’m looking for less Flacco and more Ray Rice in this one.

Could be a big night for Ray Rice

Both defenses are solid (San Fran is #3, Baltimore is #1), and both offenses are average (San Fran is #19, Baltimore #21). Seems like a recipe for a low scoring game, Vegas set the total at 38 points.

This one comes down to two things for me: 1) San Francisco is coming off of a battle against the Giants on Sunday that pretty much came down to the last play, and 2) San Francisco is travelling across the country on a short week to play in a game that has been pretty hyped up.

San Francisco is a young team, I think the hype around this game could be distracting for them. Baltimore is at home, and they are a veteran team. I don’t think Ray Lewis, Ray Rice and Ed Reed will let the team lose focus on this one. Baltimore is battling the Steelers for the lead in the AFC Central, while the 49ers have already wrapped up the NFC West. This isn’t a great spot for the 49ers.

The 49ers are 9-0-1 vs. the spread, that is unconscious. It can’t keep up and I think this is the week they finally lose a game vs. the pointspread.

So, we have a veteran team at home, on a short week against a young, hot team off a tough win travelling cross country. I think Baltimore settles in and knocks off the 49ers, and it might not even be that close. I’m saying Ravens 27-10.

Let’s hope we sweep the board on Thursday and celebrate Turkey day with some winners.

*No pick from me on the Birds game. Patriots are laying 4 right now, no Over/Under posted yet. I’ll just sit back and hope for the best. I’m still ALL IN, but if they can manage to pull this one out? Oh boy, the hype machine starts up all over again.

I’ll be back next week with a full slate of posts. But for now, enjoy the holiday weekend!

 

Fantasource

 

 

 

Season Record: 13-11. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

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The Degenerate: Week 11, The Friday Pick – Cat Fight

So, today is officially “The Day After I Got Tebowed”. Ouch. Tough loss last night on the Jets teaser. I don’t know what it is, but somehow Tim Tebow finds ways to win. Divine intervention? Maybe. His numbers were terrible, 104 yards passing, 68 yards rushing (20 of them coming on his final TD run). But he got the W.

The Jets let the Broncos stay in the game, and that was their own fault. Mark ‘Game Manager’ Sanchez threw a pick-six and Denver tied the game at 10 with nine minutes left. Later, a stalled drive with five minutes left in the game gave the ball back to Tebow on his own five yard line down by three points.

All I Do is Win, Win, Win...

We all knew what was coming. Tebow drove down 95 yards, a combination of some bad passes, some wildcat rushes, some scrambles out of the pocket, and all of the sudden he evades a sack, scampers 20 yards and scores. Bam! 17-13 Broncos win.

I checked Sportsbookspy.com and saw that Jets minus the points received 76% of the action, that is a huge amount for one side. Of course, as a gambler you live by the adage, “go against the public”. But I didn’t see how Tebow could win this game. Yet, he did. In stunning fashion, high drama, a ‘made-for-SportsCenter’ moment. Spike wrote about it this morning, you may hate Tebow as a QB and hate his mechanics and whatever, but you have to appreciate the dramatics. Me? I’m all in.

I’ll always remember my first Tebow-ing. It took three ugly hours to develop and then it was over in the blink of an eye.

Onto the Friday pick…

Eagles / Giants is always a war

I’m not making a pick in the Eagles / Giants game this week. Without knowing the status of Mike Vick I can’t make a good decision. If Vick plays, and is semi-healthy, I would lean to the Eagles plus the points (plus 4.5 points as I write this).

With Vince Young or Mike Kafka? I’m not as confident.

One side is saying that Vick is playing, other side says he is not. I don’t even know if the Eagles have any clue. FWIW, Howard Eskin, who is as in-tune with the Eagles as any sports reporter in Philly, says Vick will not practice this week, but will play.

The game is Sunday night, the current line is Giants -4.5, if the Vick situation clears up by Sunday I’ll tweet out a play if I like a side or total.

Bet #1: (a.k.a. the “Can you pick an uglier game, please?” pick) Carolina / Detroit UNDER 48 points

So, how so you feel about betting another UNDER? This week we are setting our sights on Ford Field, and looking at the Lions and Panthers. Cat Fight in the Motor City, or something like that.

I’m going UNDER 48 points in this for a few reasons: 

  1. The Detroit defense is very good.
  2. The Lions are banged up, QB Matt Stafford is hurting (fractured index finger on his throwing hand) and RB Jahvid Best is probably out (concussion symptoms).
  3. I think the rest of the NFL has caught up with Cam Newton and the Detroit D could shut him down.

Lions D will be ready to swarm

The total on this game is a little too high for me at 48 points. I know about Calvin Johnson and Cam Newton and Steve Smith and yes, both teams have proven that they are capable of putting up points. But Carolina is coming off a showing last week that was less than spectacular. They got smoked by Tennessee, an average team, with a decent (but not great) defense. The Titans were able to hold Cam Newton to 212 yards passing (0 TD’s) and 55 yards rushing. By keying on Newton they were able to shut down the entire Panther offense. Maybe the league has caught up with the Panthers offense. And now here come the Lions with the #4 ranked defense, and I think they are up to the task.

For the Lions, last week they lost to the Bears 37-13, but it wasn’t the defense’s fault, they only gave up 216 total yards! Blame Matt Stafford for two pick-6’s and the special teams for giving up the Devin Hester punt return TD.

I fully believe that the Detroit defense will shut down a pretty good Carolina offense.

Now when the Lions have the ball, it will be bad vs. worse.

We all know about how good Detroit’s defense is, well as good as the Lions are, Carolina D is the complete opposite. #31 ranked defense, and the 32nd (worst) in run defense.

Cam could be in for a long day

Matt Stafford is hurt, but will play. He has a fractured index finger on his throwing hand and some folks think it will be a problem for him this weekend (NFL analysts see Matthew Stafford’s finger injury as an issue for Lions).

Detroit will probably also be without RB Jahvid Best, who is still suffering from concussion symptoms. That leaves the rushing duties to Maurice Morris. Does that make you comfortable?  You’re relying on a QB with a broken finger and an RB who is only averaging 50 yards per game since becoming the starter.

The Carolina defense isn’t very good. But with Stafford limited and the rushing game missing it’s #1 guy, I think Detroit will try to play a conservative gameplan.

Detroit is right in the thick of the wildcard race. And they have Green Bay (twice), New Orleans, San Diego and division rival Minnesota coming up on the schedule so they can’t afford to take this game lightly.

I’m saying that Carolina comes into Detroit, an injured Matt Stafford does enough to not lose the game, the Lions defense does it’s thing and Detroit gets a 24-14 win to stay UNDER the total.

The Line: Detroit -7, O/U 48
The Pick: UNDER 48 points
Game Trends (via Covers.com): Detroit: 10-3-1 ATS last 14 overall

Last night was a tough loss, let’s get a winner on Sunday.

Fantasource

 

 

 

Season Record: 12-10. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

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The Degenerate: Week 5 MNF, Detroit Lock City?

Detroit Rock City? Might be more like Detroit Lock City tonight (LOL). Chicago is going to find out what it’s like to be thrown into the Lions’ dens. The Lions have a strong defense, a quick strike offense and they look like they could cause real problems for Jay Cutler and friends on Monday Night Football.

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