Tag Archive | "Giants"

Time’s Yours Podcast: The Eagles Keep Hope Alive

Of course they beat the Giants. They had to beat the Giants.

The Eagles find a way to get us to believe every year. 10 games into the most disappointing season of the Andy Reid era, they’re trying again.

Vince Young led a fourth quarter comeback. The defense played well. DeSean Jackson was able to “shine a light” on his teammates. They’re not quite out of it yet.

Lee Russakoff and I discuss whether the Eagles still legitimately have a shot at making the playoffs.

Follow Lee Russakoff on Twitter @LeeRussakoff.

Subscribe to the Time’s Yours podcast on iTunes by clicking here

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The Degenerate: Week 11 Preview and Thursday Night Pick, TEBOW!

Remember back to the fun of three weeks ago, after the Eagles crushed the Cowboys and we were ready to take control of the NFC East. We said that this weekends Giants game was going to be the game of the year, and we would win and get back into first place? I think I’ll quote from my own post that week… “That [Cowboys] game was huge. It got us closer to the Giants, it vaulted us from the ‘and other teams…’ list onto the short list for the NFC title race

Remember the Cowboys game? Wasn't that fun?

Yeah, well forget all that. Now we are in sink or swim mode.

A record of 3-6 with seven just games left. Our playoff chances are getting slimmer and slimmer by the week. That stuff happens when you lose back to back weeks as nine & 14 point favorites. Right now, we are on the outside looking in for a playoff spot. I see a statistic of a 3.6% chance of us making the postseason. And this week it doesn’t get any easier, we go up to the Meadowlands and take on the Giants.

Not only have the Eagles had a rough run of it in the real world, they haven’t done too much to help gamblers who have backed them this season. The Dream Team has been favored every game this season up to this week, and they’re only 3-6 ATS (against the spread). When they actually win a game, they cover the spread, too bad they haven’t won many games this season.

The kicker is that they’ve been favorites of seven points or higher four times (v. Giants, v. 49ers, v. Bears and v. Cardinals), all home games, and they’ve lost them all straight up. I’m trying to dig up how much you would have lost if you bet $100 on the Eagles to win every game on the moneyline (no spread), but an early guess is well over $1000. I’ll try to figure that out and report back in tomorrow’s column.

The good news for us here at The Degenerate is that we got back on the winning side last week, going 2-1 with the picks. Winners on San Francisco and the Packers OVER 50 on Monday Night, loser on the Chargers. I made my last bet on Phillip Rivers last Thursday night, the Chargers are dead to me. No way am I putting any money on them again this season.

This week the NFL throws us a pretty interesting Thursday night matchup, Jets vs. Tebow, I mean the Broncos. I’ll have a pick in that game and a first look at the Eagles / Giants matchup.

Onto the Week 10 review..

Week 10 Revisited

After losing 4 of 5, going 2-1 makes me feel like Einstein.

After a few tough weeks I am happy to say we got back on the winning track last weekend. I can’t blame you if you didn’t follow any of the plays last week since we sucked for 2 weeks in a row, but 2-1 last weekend isn’t bad. it moved us to 12-9 on the season (all of the 2011 picks are documented here). Not great, but still not bad. It’s 57%, still enough to make us a little profit for the season, but that’s irrelevant since this is for amusement purposes only, right?

Chargers -7 over Raiders – this game sucked. If someone informed me that Carson Palmer had an HGH injection I probably would have laid off the game. Seriously, Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and two TD’s. Michael Bush had 157 yards rushing?

The Chargers were never really in this game, besides a 3-0 lead in the 1st quarter, they never led in the game. Bad showing for the Chargers, and a bad loss for us.  Raiders win 14-17. Loss

49ers -4 over  NY Giants – this one was a little nerve wracking. This was a slugfest, but a little more high scoring than I expected, even though the scoring started slowly. It was all field goals until the 3rd quarter. 12-6 49ers and Eli throws a TD to give the Giants the lead 13-12. 49ers came back with 2 TD’s to take a 27-13 lead.

Eli had one last surge in him, getting the Giants to within seven at 27-20, and driving with a minute left. 49ers needed a red zone stand to get out with the win and the cover. 27-20. Winner

Packers/Vikings OVER 50 – this one was a little too close for comfort. It started off pretty well, the Packers had 14 points before I even sat down on my couch, and then the scoring stopped.

We went into half with a 17-0 Packers lead. I was nervous. But with Aaron Rogers at QB, I knew we still had a chance. And he didn’t disappoint. 21 points in the 3rd quarter. Then it was stuck on 45 points, and it’s garbage time. Here comes Matt Flynn. 10 minutes left, he drives the Packers down for a meaningless TD to put us OVER 50. Packers win, 45-7 final. Winner.

Week 11 Hometown Preview: Eagles @ New York Giants

Opening Line: Giants -3, O/U 47
Current Line: Giants -5, O/U 46.5
Game Trends (via Covers.com): Underdog is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 meetings. Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

The Giants game is always a bloodbath.

This game is tough to handicap. Mainly because we aren’t sure if Vick is playing. Which is why the line jumped so much. With Vick out the options are Mike Kafka (probably ugh) or Vince Young (definitely ugh). The Giants are for real, FootballOutsiders.com has them as the #8 overall team (#6 offense, #11 defense).

They’re also right in the middle of a tough stretch of games that everyone thought would kill their season. Two weeks ago they knocked off the Patriots on the road as 9 point underdogs. Last week they fought hard in San Francisco as four point dogs and almost pulled off another improbable win. This week they come home and look to keep their lead in the NFC East. Next week it’s @ New Orleans, then home vs. Green Bay and then @ Dallas. Ouch.

New York has had a pretty easy home schedule so far this season, St Louis, Seattle, Miami and Buffalo. But they only have one cover at home, a 12 point Week 2 win vs. Rams as seven point favorites. The Buffalo and Miami games were tight wins (but not covers) and the Giants got knocked off by Seattle as 10 point favorites a few weeks ago.

The Eagles? Well we know their story all too well.

This is a Sunday Night matchup, and the NY crowd will be fired up, they know a win here would pretty much put the final stake in the Eagles season. So expect a raucous crowd (I know, what else would you expect?).

But looking at the trends this seems like a good spot for the Eagles. Road team and Underdogs in this series cover at a pretty good clip, and the Eagles are both.

And last year, we went up there as three point underdogs and then this happened (w/Merrill Reese audio)…

We’ll make a pick in this game on Friday. I’m leaning Eagles and UNDER (seriously).

Thursday Night Football

TNF Bet #1: (a.k.a the “a bet against Tebow is a bet against God” pick): Teaser – Jets pick ’em and UNDER 46

Tebow-mania has hit new heights of absurdity

If you only got your news from ESPN here’s what you know about this game: Tebow Tebow Tebow. Tebow, Tebow Tebow Tebow. (Tebow) Tebow Tebow , Tebow? Jets. Tebow.

Yeah, Tim Tebow makes his national TV debut. NFL Network execs are creaming themselves at the chance to show Tebow vs. the Jets. Big Name player vs. Big Market team. Must See TV. I know I’ll be watching.

I like Tebow, he is a very interesting guy. He has strong beliefs, and he sticks to them. As we’ve seen all too well lately that some people preach one thing and do another (*cough* PSU *cough*), but Tim Tebow seems like the real deal. But that still doesn’t mean I’m going to bet on him.

This line opened at Jets -4, O/U 42.5, and is now Jets -6, O/U 40. All the money is on the Jets. Heck, I think even Mr. and Mrs. Tebow have money on the Jets. Sportsbookspy.com has 84% of the bets on this game going to the Jets. Wow, that’s huge public backing on the Jets minus the points.

But there’s good reason. The Broncos are still an unknown commodity. Tebow has only started 4 games. Yeah, he’s 3-1, but wins over Miami, Oakland and KC aren’t jumping off the page. Those teams have bad defenses (Miami: #21, Oakland #26, KC: #22). The week that they played a team with a decent defense (Detroit: #4) they got shut down, 45-10.

The Jets have a great defense, #2 overall (#2 passing, #5 rushing) and I think they match up well with the Tebow offense (if that’s possible). The Denver passing game is non-existent. Just stick Revis on Eric Decker and that’s that. This will force Tebow to keep it on the ground with whatever types of wildcat plays he plans to run. Add to that both Denver RB’s are hurting. Knowshow Moreno is out (ACL), and Willis McGahee is questionable tonight. So Tebow is out there all alone, his top WR will be all stranded on Revis Island, and his only functioning RB will be playing hurt, if he plays at all. Could be a long night for Tebow.

Whatever you do, just don't blow the game for us, ok?

That brings us to the Jets. They are pretty average on offense, #15th overall. (#13th passing, #14th rushing). LaDanian Tomlinson is out. So it’s going to be all Shonn Greene in the backfield. So I think tonight it comes down to Mark Sanchez and a short passing game. Can he get it done vs the #24 ranked pass defense? I think he can, but with a ball control mentality. I saw an article in the NY Daily News that said Sanchez is basically a ‘game manager’ now. Translation: play conservative and don’t screw anything up.

With the Jets D shutting down Tebow and Sanchez playing ‘game manager’, I think this will be a low scoring game, and the total of 40 shows me that Vegas thinks so to.

Both teams are desperate for a win, The Broncos are 4-5 but only a game out of 1st place in the AFC West, and the Jets are 5-4 and a game out of the AFC EAst. The Jets are also in the mix for a wildcard spot. Denver is playing well, three wins in four games, but they are 1-3 at home. The Jets are 1-3 on the road, so something has to give.

And logistically, the Jets are in a tough position. They played the Sunday Night game vs. New England, now they fly West and play again 4 days later in Mile High (or whatever it’s called), and in this time they have to prepare for the crazy Tebow offense? I still they can do it (In Rex We Trust), but I’m not willing to lay 6 points on the road. I also like the UNDER, so I think I’ll throw out a ‘Thursday Night Teaser of the Week’, how about Jets and UNDER. With the 6 points it will take the lines to Jets pick ‘em, Under 46.

Let’s say Rex and the Jets shut down Tebow, Sanchez plays a conservative game and the Jets come away with a 24-13 win.

C’mon Rex, get it done.

The Line: Jets -6, O/U 40
The Pick: Teaser: Jets pick ‘em + Under 46

Back on Friday with the Sunday picks

 

Fantasource

 

 

 

Season Record: 12-9. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com
Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

 

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The Degenerate: Week 10: The Friday Pick, Staying Out West

Well, last night we had another loser on San Diego -7. That makes four losing picks in a row. Ugh.  We were just enjoyed an 8-2 run, but now that’s changed, and it’s been 1-5 the past three weeks. I’m going to keep plugging away and hopefully we can get back on the winning side. (editor’s note: I think the losing streak is hilarious – Spike)

Welcome back, Kevin. I hope you get some snaps.

The end of the week is here. Finally. I’ve been waiting patiently for Vegas to give us a line on the Eagles/Cardinals game, and so far…nothing. This stuff happens all the time, a team has injury issues (usually QB, but sometimes big-time RB or WR) so Vegas isn’t ready to put a line on the game. This time it’s because the Cardinals QB situation is murky, they haven’t commited to a starter. I’ll be honest, whether it’s Kevin Kolb or John Skelton it really doesn’t matter, the Eagles will win, and probablhy win big. I saw someone say the line should be 12, another said 14, a third said 10, I think nine points. But I can’t really handicap the game without knowing what I’m up against.

Anyway, I’m going to breakdown another game I like and if the oddsmakers put a line on the Birds game I’ll put something up here at SpikeEskin.com, or I’ll blast it out on Twitter before Sunday kickoffs.

No bye weeks this week, so we have 16 games this weekend (including last night). But we also have another tough choice to make… “which game this weekend sucks the most?” There are 3 contenders that could be up for “crappiest matchup of the year”…

St Louis (1-7) @ Cleveland (3-5); Washington (3-5) @ Miami (1-7); or Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (0-9). Take your pick. I’m going with Washington/Miami. John Beck vs. Matt Moore? Yeah, I’d rather be watching Law and Order reruns.

Week 10 Pick

Bet #1 – (a.k.a the “Hey look, it’s two teams that beat the Eagles” pick) San Francicso 49ers -3 over New York Giants

This is probably the best game of the weekend. Maybe Patriots/Jets is a better rivalry, but 49ers/Giants is the best matchup.

Can Eli whip up another big road win?

I like this 49ers team. At the beginning of the season (like when they came in to play the Eagles in Week 4) I wasn’t convinced, but now I am. Alex Smith is solid and Frank Gore is a top RB, but the defense is where this team really shines.

49ers are #1 in points per game allowed (14.8), #9 in total yards per game allowed (325), and FootballOutsiders.com has them at #4 in defensive efficiency, #1 vs. rush and #8 vs. pass.

But the Giants are only averaging 88 yards rushing per game anyway, so I think the 49ers will shut them down completely on the ground and make Eli beat them. I like to bust Eli’s balls about not being a big game QB, but he looked pretty good last week at the Patriots. Even so, I still think the 49ers can control him. Without a running game to worry about they can scheme to stop Eli and the pass.

The Giants defense is pretty good too. Even though they gave up 345 yards passing to Tom Brady (I know, Tom Brady > Alex Smith), they’re still pretty good against the pass, giving up only 238 yards per game. But I think the 49ers get them with the run game with Gore and short, ball control passing.

I could see this being a low scoring game, the 49ers don’t put up many points. But in order for the Giants to win, Eli has to beat the 49ers, on the road, after a huge come from behind win @ Foxboro, going out to the West Coast, with a look ahead game on tap against the Eagles next week. That’s alot to ask.

Like Jim Morrison said, “The west is the best.” And I’m staying out west this weekend. San Diego on Thursday night, now San Francisco on Sunday.

I think the 49ers get it done, more so with defense than offense. I’m saying the 49ers move to 8-1, stay undefeated ATS and come out with a 24-14 win.

Let’s get it done, San Fran! Please? I need a winner, like desperately.

The Line: San Francisco -3, O/U 42.5
The Pick: San Francisco -3
Game Trends (via Covers.com): Giants: 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games on grass; 49ers: 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

 

Fantasource

 

 

 

Season Record: 10-9 (ouch!). You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

  • Follow me on Twitter: @Fantasource
  • Email me fantasource@gmail.com
  • Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments

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Time’s Yours Podcast: The Eagles Dismantle The Cowboys

My good friend Lee Russakoff has been Mr. Negative about the Eagles the last few weeks.

After the Eagles complete and total domination of the Cowboys last night, the thought of them making the playoffs is a little bit easier to swallow. Well, for most people. Let’s see if Lee’s with us.

We talk Vick at his best, McCoy being the best, Castillo’s defense coming alive and how they can win the division.

Click here and subscribe to Time’s Yours on iTunes.

Follow Lee Russakoff on Twitter @LeeRussakoff.

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Photoshop Fun: For No Reason, Shawn Andrews As A Jockey

Matt Mac (@_mattmac) wanted to know what our buddy Shawn Andrews would look like as a jockey. Now we know. 

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The Degenerate: Week 5, The Friday Picks… Bet On Eli?

So here we are, the Friday picks. Let’s try to keep the momentum alive from last week and come out with a little money in our pocket (for amusement purposes only, of course). Can the Eagles get it done in Buffalo? Is Seattle primed for a North Jersey beatdown? Read on to find out.

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The Degenerate Week 4: Groundhogs Day – Eagles vs. 49ers Preview and More…

So, Mike Vick is hurting and he might not play. Or maybe he will. We don’t know yet. Hey where have I heard that one before?
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Jimmy Rollins On The Giants?

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It’s The End Of The World, Now It Feels Like Eagles Season

Andy Reid made the wrong calls. The linebackers are hopeless. As a matter of fact, most of the defense is hopeless. None of this can be fixed. Yes, it’s Eagles season.

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