The Degenerate: Week 10, MNF pick: It’s Over, Johnny

So, can we stick a fork in them? Are they done? 3-6, 3 games back with 7 to play? Yeah, I think they’re done. Time to start studying the college draft prospects. As it stands today we’re right in the mix for a top 5 pick, so that’s pretty cool. Can’t wait to see what Andy has up his sleeve this year. How about a punter? That LSU kid is pretty solid. What about drafting a QB? Oh yeah, I forgot, we’re stuck with the 100 million dollar man. But at least it’s not Kevin Kolb, amirite. I personally think they would do well getting Justin Blackmon from Oklahoma State. Another WR to throw into the mix. Maclin, Jackson and Blackmon. I like that. But he’s junior, hopefully he comes out.

So, can I just challenge the whole season and start over again?

Anyway, back to reality. John Skelton came into the Linc with the 2-6 Cardinals, he led a 4th quarter comeback and the Cardinals came away with a 21-17 win as 14 point underdogs.

The good: Asante got a pick six. The bad: Vick threw 4 INTs (lucky for him 2 were negated by penalties). The Ugly: DeSean blew off a team meeting and got benched.

I guess Andy has to go. This team has no fire, no passion and they have no heart late in games. They’ve only won 3 games, at Rams, at Redskins and vs. Cowboys. So, we have wins against 2 of the worst teams in the league and a nice blowout of Dallas. But when push comes to shove, they can’t get it done. They’ve blown late leads to the Falcons, Giants, 49ers, Bears and now the Cardinals.

The drumbeats are sounding, the ‘Fire Andy’ movement will be in full force this week. I’m sure that idiot with the signs will be outside of NovaCare. Hopefully he bought himself a dictionary.

As much as I don’t want to, I’m writing off the rest of this season. I have to. I can’t hold out any more hope for a team that has proved multiple times that it can’t close games. Watching the 49ers/Giants game made me long for the days of good football. Both teams fought to the end, to the last seconds, the game went down to the final play in the red zone. You didn’t want to count Eli out (yeah, I just wrote that), even after two bad interceptions he answered with a threaded needle for a TD. And the 49ers were punching back everytime the Giants landed a left hook. I want that kind of fight. I want a team that will die on the field to get a win, these guys aren’t doing it.

Maybe a new coach, but who knows what the answer is. Bill Cowher? John Gruden? Rob Ryan? Some unknown assistant with a nice binder full of laminated plays and schemes (ala Andy Reid back in 1999)? The triumverate (Lurie, Reid and Banner) needs to step back, evaluate the coaches and management, and make a move. Maybe move Andy upstairs, let someone else call the plays? I don’t know. Something has to be done.  But knowing the track record of the Big 3, I’m not holding my breath.

Onto the Monday Night pick…

Monday Night Football: Vikings at Packers

Green Bay hosting Minnesota. The Packers are a 13 point favorite, total is 50 points.

There's gonna be alot of Lambeau Leaping tonight

I’m not expecting the Vikings to be in this game at all. Blowout city. But laying 13 points opens us up to a back door cover. I’m looking at this game as a scorefest. And I’m going with OVER 50 points.

I’m bucking a big trend here. This season teams coming off bye weeks have hit UNDER in 20 of 27 games including 2 UNDERs from the 3 teams off bye weeks in this past Sunday’s games. So I’m working in the minority here.

Green Bay can score, we all know that. They’re averaging 34 points a game. They’re also 8-0 and looking to keep the undefeated season alive. A home game on Monday Night is something teams circle on the schedule when it first comes out. So expect a top effort from Green Bay. The Packers are playing a division rival, but one that’s not very good. Minnesota is 2-6 and going nowhere fast. They have Adrian Petersen, the best RB in the league (sorry Shady, your #2). But the Vikes have improved the past few games. Christian Ponder took over for Donovan McNabb full-time in Week 7 and since then they have put up 24 and 27 points and they’re coming into this game off of a bye week. So they’ll be rested. Ponder is good. The rookie QB crop this season is pretty solid (Andy Dalton and Cam Newton are probably battling for Rookie of the Year) and Ponder is one of the better ones.

AP is ready for a big game.

Ponder already matched up against the Packers in his 1st pro start in Week 7, and put up a decent game but lost 33-27 at home. So he’s already seen the Green Bay defense, and he did ok with them. Petersen is going to get his touches, he had 175 yards rushing and a TD in Week 7 vs. Green Bay. I expect the Vikings to try to slow down the game by staying on the ground and keeping the Packers off the field, but it’s probably not going to work for too long.

Green Bay has put up points this season, their lowest scoring game was when they scored only 24 points vs the Rams 2 weeks ago. Last week they went to San Diego and won 45-38. I expect Rogers to put the ball up early and often, try to get a big lead and take AP out of the game, forcing Ponder to throw. At least that’s what I would do if I was playing this matchup in Madden.

You may not be aware of this but the Green Bay defense is not very good. They’re 8-0 despite the fact that they have the 22nd ranked defense. That’s says alot about their offense’s ability to outscore teams.

And while Minnesota’s defense is a far cry from the Purple People Eaters of the 70’s, at #20 they’re ranked higher than the Packers D. But they do have the 21st ranked pass defense, so I expect Aaron Rogers to have 3 TD’s, maybe 4. Another great fantasy game for Rogers.

I think the Vikings will figure out a way to score in the 20’s, and the Packers will score early and often and get into the 30’s, and that’ll put the game OVER 50.

How about Rogers throws 4 TD’s, the Packers move to 9-0 and cheeseheads rejoice with a 37-24 Packers win in a division beatdown of the Vikings.

The Line: Green Bay -13, O/U 50
The Pick: Green Bay / Minnesota OVER 50
Games Trends (via Covers.com): Vikings: 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North. Packers: OVER is 7-2 in last 9 games as a home favorite.

R.I.P Joe Frazier.

R.I.P 2011 Eagles.

Season Record: 11-9. You can see all my picks for the 2011 season documented here.
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