The Degenerate: Week 6 MNF Pick, Bright Lights, Big City…

So, the Eagles finally got the monkey off of their backs. But when the opposing quarterback is named Rex Grossman, it’s not that hard to do. But tonight, a team from the other end of the NJ Turnpike is also trying to right the ship and get a much-needed win. Tonight, Matt Moore and the Miami Dolphins come to the Meadowlands (or whatever it’s called now) and take on the Mark Sanchez and the J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets.

I loved Buddy, so I love Rex.

The Jets and Eagles were in pretty similar situations coming into this week. Both teams came into the season with high expectations. The Jets may not have had the ‘dream team’ label, but with Rex Ryan’s big mouth, Mark Sanchez’s GQ photo shoots and their recent success (including a big underdog win over New England in the playoffs) alot of teams were gunning for them and the New York media was ready to pounce at the first indication of failure.

And like the Eagles, the Jets are come into Week 6 sorely needing a win to stay in the division race. New England (5-1) and Buffalo (4-2) are at the top of the AFC East, and the Jets have a chance to keep pace with them if they can get a win tonight. 9-7 might get a wildcard berth in the AFC, and if the Jets plan to make it to the postseason they better get a win tonight.

On the other end of the spectrum you have the 0-4 Miami Dolphins. They’re not very good. They’re at the bottom of the league in points per game (17.4), defensive pass yards per game (307), and they’re the lowest rated team in defensive efficiency. And they’re one of the favorites in the ‘Suck For Luck’ sweepstakes, by finishing with the worst record and getting to draft stud QB Andrew Luck from Stanford. Oh, and the following people are all part-owners of the Dolphins: J-Lo, Mark Anthony, Fergie and Serena Williams. And according to Sportsbook.com, Tony Sparano is the odds-on favorite to be the first NFL coach fired this season. So they have that going for them.

The Jets are 2-3 but have dropped 3 straight, losing to Oakland, Baltimore and New England. So they’ve lost to 3 good teams on the road. Now they

If you win this game, and we don't get Andrew Luck, I'm going to kill you.

come home and they get to take out their frustrations on the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. The stats all point to the Jets getting it done tonight. I mean, with Chad Henne out is Matt Moore going to beat Rex Ryan’s #2 ranked pass defense? RB Daniel Thomas is hurting (back from a hamstring injury after missing 2 games), will he be 100% and will he be able to carry the load? The Jets seem like they are ready to give up on ‘Ground and Pound’ and start throwing the ball more. That will be a good place to start since Miami has a pretty weak pass defense. Who am I kidding, their run defense stinks too.

This line opened at Jets -9, but was bet down and now the line is Jets -6′. Sportsbookspy.com shows the Jets getting 71% of the action in this game but the number moved the opposite way. So it looks like some heavy hitters are putting their money on the Dolphins to make the line move like that. Regardless, I still like the Jets and if you can get them laying less than 7 points, even better (as always, for amusement purposes only).

The Jets know they have to win, and I think they get it done easily tonight. They’re a desperate team with a good defense playing at home going up against a QB making his first start of the season with a banged up starting RB.

This one could get ugly if Rex unleashes the hounds on Matt Moore. I’ll say Jets 30 Dolphins 10.

The Line: Jets -6.5 / 42.5
The Pick: Jets -6.5

Let’s win this one and go eat a god damn snack!

(See, I went through this whole post without making a Rex Ryan foot fetish joke. That’s because we run a respectable business here. 8=====D)

Good luck and let’s keep the winning streak alive.

Fantasource

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:

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  • Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments
  • http://twitter.com/fantasource Fantasource

    I just checked the line and I’m now seeing Jets -7. I still like the Jets up to -7 points. And buy it down to -6′ if you can.
    Taking -7′ will leave you open for a backdoor cover. Watch out for that.

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