The Degenerate: Eagles vs. Giants Preview and More

Once again, it’s on.

Every Thursday I’ll highlight a few games that stick out. This week I’m focusing on the Eagles game (which I’ll do each week) and a game that jumped out at me due to the pretty big move that happened after the opening lines came out on Sunday night.

Week 3:

Hometown Preview: Eagles vs. NY Giants

This Eagles / Giants game is tough to handicap without knowing the Vick injury situation (obviously). I’m going to approach it as if Vick is going to play. If it turns out he is sitting, then you stay away. Early indications say he will play, but we won’t know for sure until later this week.
With Vick playing, I see Eagles -7. In that situation, I love the Birds. If it can drop under 7, I’m all over it.
Last Sunday, when the whole offense was on the field (Vick, DeSean, Maclin, McCoy), the offense looked unbeatable. Too many weapons, too much talent and too much speed.
Yes, the defense had a tough time stopping the run, but if the offense can put up 30, then I think the defense can get it done against Eli and the Giants and come away with the cover. The Giants are really banged up and coming off the Monday Night game, the short week doesn’t help them get healthy.
Line: Eagles -7 (no total posted).
Game Trends: New  York: Over is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 vs. NFC. Philadelphia: Over is 11-4 in Eagles last 15 games overall (via Covers.com)

Big Line Move of the Week: Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos

This game opened at Tennessee -4’, but as of Wednesday it is up to Tennessee -7. Sharps opened the week by throwing money at the Titans, or was it just a bet against Denver?
Denver is definitely having troubles, to say the least. Not so much injuries (although Knowshon Moreno is hurting), they have a very sketchy QB situation. Fans want Tebow, but the coaches continue to stick with Orton.
Tenessee is seeing a rebirth of Matt Hasselback, he’s actually playing pretty well early in the season. Add in Kenny Britt and Chris Johnson and you have the makings of a powerful offense.
Denver seems to give up points, and this could be a good spot for the Titans to light them up.
Line: Tennessee -7, O/U 42
Game Trends: Denver: Over is 9-3 in last 12 Broncos road games. Tennessee: Over is 9-3 in last 12 Titans home games (via Covers.com).

Quick note on Totals:

Early season trends show the OVER is killing it. 23-8-1 (74%) for the OVER so far this season? Wow. As much as you would think the number would drop back to 50/50 over the course of the season I’m still liking the OVERs, at least for the next few weeks. Last week alone had 6 games with total scores over 50 points. I’m liking the trend to continue with the high powered offenses (Eagles, Patriots, Packers, Saints, Falcons) continuing to put up big points.

Stay informed:

Here are a few handicappers, gamblers and Vegas insiders on Twitter that I think have good info and are worth a follow:
  • Chad Millman (@ChadMillman) – probably the best known, mainly because he writes about sports gambling for ESPN. Also is the Editor-in-Chief for ESPN Magazine.
  • Philly Godfather (@PhillyGodfather) – One of my personal favorites. He’s from Philly, he knows his crap, he puts out good info and he’s fun to read. You can’t go wrong with the Godfather.
  • RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) – RJ runs Pregame.com, one of the best handicapping sites there is.
  • Vegas Runner (@VegasRunner) – VR is originally from Philly, but he now lives in Las Vegas. He puts up good info, and lets you know where sharps and squares are putting their money.
  • Covers.com (@CoversSports) – Covers tweets out links to interesting articles on their site. Lots of stuff about trends, line moves. They pass along lots of good info.

I’ve created a Twitter list with these guys along with a bunch of other handicappers I follow, so if you want to see a collection of gambling tweets in one spot just follow fantasource/sharps

If there are any other gambling folks on Twitter that you would like to recommend, please let me know. I’ll update the list as we go along.

Study Hall:
I’ll try to highlight some interesting articles I’ve seen. Something for you to peruse after you’ve finished reading every article on SpikeEskin.com

Tweet of the Week:

I wasn’t planning on doing something like this, but then Dick Vitale dropped this gem in my lap. Going forward, I’ll try to highlight the most absurd tweet from a sports personality that I come across.
This could also be named the ‘Marreese Speights Tweet of the Week’, and if you follow Mo Speights you know what I’m talking about.

http://twitter.com/

 

 

Coming up on Friday: The picks.

Questions, comments, links to share, etc… You can get in touch with me multiple ways:
Follow me on Twitter – @Fantasource
Email me fantasource@gmail.com

Or just let me know your thoughts in the comments.

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